According to Stock Talk (@stocktalkweekly), the latest US Producer Price Index (PPI) data came in lower than expected, with PPI year-over-year at 2.4% versus the 2.5% estimate, and month-over-month at -0.5% compared to the 0.2% estimate. Core PPI year-over-year matched estimates at 3.1%, but core PPI month-over-month surprised with a -0.4% reading against a 0.3% forecast. For crypto traders, this weaker-than-expected inflation data could signal a less aggressive Federal Reserve stance on interest rates, potentially supporting bullish sentiment in Bitcoin and altcoins due to reduced tightening pressure. Source: Stock Talk (@stocktalkweekly, May 15, 2025).

According to The Kobeissi Letter, prediction markets, as reported by @Kalshi, currently see a 23% probability of interest rate hikes returning in 2025. This sentiment follows a significant increase in CPI inflation, which recorded its largest month-over-month rise of 0.5% since August 2023. Additionally, PPI inflation has unexpectedly surged to its highest level since February 2023. These inflation metrics are critical for traders to consider as they may influence future monetary policy adjustments, potentially impacting cryptocurrency markets sensitive to interest rate changes.